Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Brock Purdy headshot

Brock Purdy

QB · #13

SF · QB · Age 26

Redraft rank
QB11
•QB11 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#18
ADP
QB13
Consensus
Tight

Brock Purdy enters the 2026 season as San Francisco's unquestioned QB1 after a 97% snap share in his last healthy campaign, despite consecutive injury-shortened seasons.

Role & trajectory
Purdy is entrenched as the 49ers' starting quarterback with no competition for the job, maintaining a QB1 stable position on the depth chart.
Projected outlook
With a full season of health and an upgraded receiving corps featuring Mike Evans and rookie De'Zhaun Stribling, Purdy projects to build on his 2025 per-play efficiency (90.0 PFF grade) and elevate his market value.
Risk & schedule
Purdy's availability is the primary risk after consecutive injury-shortened seasons, with concerns about the durability of his veteran core weapons as he approaches a full workload in 2026.
Value vs ADP+2 slots of value
Our rank
QB11
vs
Market ADP
QB13
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
QB11 · proj. consensus
Notable
+
ADP value
QB13 ADP · +2 slots
Minor
+
Source agreement
±3 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Age / role
What similar players becameLow confidence

Of the 10 age-26 quarterbacks most similar to Brock Purdy's 2025 season, 3 finished QB1, 3 finished QB3, 2 finished QB4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → QB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

30%30%20%20%
  • QB130%(3)
  • QB330%(3)
  • QB4+20%(2)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range12.9 median
0.0p25–p75 7.2–18.126.2
10 most similar players
Baker Mayfield96%
2022·QB30 · 10.1 PPG
Derek Carr95%
2018·Missed the season
Joe Burrow94%
2024·QB6 · 21.9 PPG
Deshaun Watson93%
2023·QB37 · 14.5 PPG
Dak Prescott93%
2020·QB31 · 27.1 PPG
Tyler Huntley92%
2025·QB46 · 8.0 PPG

+4 more analogs

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Injury Concerns

    Purdy played through a turf-toe-like injury and a Week 18 shoulder stinger late in 2025, on top of a 2024 season that cost him a game to a right elbow injury — a two-year pattern worth monitoring even though he's fully healthy entering 2026.

  • Contract Pressure

    National coverage is framing 2026 as a defining, 'prove-it' season for Purdy to justify his mega-extension and quiet lingering system-QB skepticism despite his weapons upgrade.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Offensive Context

    Purdy inherits the deepest weapons room of his career — Christian McCaffrey, Mike Evans, George Kittle, and Ricky Pearsall, plus rookie R2 WR De'Zhaun Stribling — with zero same-position draft capital spent against him.

  • Job Security

    Backup competition (Mac Jones, Kurtis Rourke) is non-threatening and SF's 2026 draft capital went to a WR and RB rather than a QB, leaving Purdy's starting job completely uncontested.

  • National Recognition

    NFL.com tabbed Purdy a dark-horse MVP candidate for 2026 and NFL Network slotted him at No. 85 on its Top 100 list, reflecting rising external valuation after a five-touchdown, 36.9-point Week 17 outburst and a playoff berth.

Format Comparison

Brock Purdy — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest5,292—
PPR 1QB3,061-2,231