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QB #32
Brock Purdy headshot
Brock Purdy headshot

Brock Purdy

Tier 4

SFO · QB · Age 26

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

5,262Rising

Purdy enters 2026 fully healthy, locked in as San Francisco's franchise QB on a 5-year, $265M extension that erases the outdated Trey Lance and Mac Jones...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    Purdy's 2025 was wrecked by a turf-toe variant plus a non-throwing-shoulder issue that cost him multiple games (11 GP, QB22) and forced Mac Jones into starts; the team publicly framed the toe as something that may never fully resolve, making back-to-back injury-affected seasons a live concern.

  • Chronic Shoulder Issues

    Purdy battled shoulder problems that limited him to nine starts in 2025, with previous shoulder injuries in 2024 (Week 11) and stinger episodes in 2023. Pattern of recurring shoulder problems raises durability concerns despite his age.

  • Turf Toe Severity

    Purdy missed large portions of the year dealing with turf toe injuries, which for a QB requiring mobility and plant mechanics represents a meaningful long-term risk, especially given his smaller stature (6'1", 212 pounds) compared to typical starting QBs.

  • Recurring Shoulder Injuries

    Purdy has suffered multiple shoulder injuries (Week 11 2024, left shoulder in Week 1 2025, stinger in Week 18 2026) creating a pattern of recurring problems that could lead to chronic issues affecting long-term QB performance and durability.

  • Offensive Weapon Loss

    George Kittle tore his Achilles in the January 2026 NFC Wild Card round and will miss most or all of the 2026 season. Kittle was Purdy's most reliable red-zone and short-area target, and his absence is a meaningful hit to Purdy's TD ceiling.

  • Weapons Turnover

    The 49ers are expected to move on from Brandon Aiyuk, Jauan Jennings is a UFA, Ricky Pearsall has struggled with health, and George Kittle missed six games in 2025 with injuries. Offensive supporting cast faces significant turnover that could impact Purdy's efficiency.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Elite Offensive System

    Purdy operates in one of the NFL's most effective offensive schemes with exceptional weapons (Deebo, CMC, Brandon Aiyuk). This system maximizes efficiency and production, supporting his dynasty value even with injury risks.

  • Premium Offensive System

    Operates in Kyle Shanahan's elite scheme with star weapons: George Kittle (though injured late 2025), Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, Jauan Jennings, and Brandon Aiyuk. System maximizes QB efficiency regardless of durability questions.

  • Long Term Contract Security

    Purdy signed a five-year, $265 million extension in May 2025 at age 26, providing long-term job security and 8+ years of elite production potential ahead. The 49ers have made him their franchise QB despite injury concerns.

  • Elite Offensive Scheme

    Operating in Kyle Shanahan's elite scheme with star weapons (CMC, Kittle, Pearsall, Jennings) maximizes QB efficiency regardless of durability questions. Shanahan's system has consistently produced top fantasy QBs and supports Purdy's high floor.

  • Offensive Context

    The 49ers signed Mike Evans to a 3-year, $60.4M deal, adding a legitimate alpha WR to a system that lacked elite receiver talent. Evans in Shanahan's scheme materially raises Purdy's target distribution quality and big-play ceiling entering 2026.

  • Reloaded Weapons

    SF added two-time All-Pro Mike Evans and Christian Kirk in free agency and drafted De'Zhaun Stribling (R2), pairing them with CMC, Kittle, Pearsall and Aiyuk — an elite supporting cast that raises Purdy's weekly ceiling.

Scenarios (4)
  • Healthy QB1 with elite weaponslikely+12%

    Stays healthy 16+ games with Evans/Kirk/CMC fully integrated, finishes top-8 fantasy QB

  • Top-5 dynasty QB breakoutpossible+30%

    Full 17-game season plus deep playoff run pushes him into consensus QB6-8 dynasty tier

  • Durability truncates another seasonpossible-22%

    Recurrence of turf toe or shoulder/elbow injury forces Mac Jones into multiple starts again

  • System-QB stagnation narrative hardensunlikely-15%

    Coaching change or down efficiency year reinforces 'product of the scheme' label and erodes market value

Format Comparison

Brock Purdy — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest5,262—
PPR 1QB3,034-2,228