Fantasy Heartbeat
GuillotineRankingsTrade Calculator
Connect league

© 2026 Fantasy Heartbeat

  • Blog
  • Tools
  • Track Record
  • Pricing
  • Help
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Disclaimers
  • Contact

Fantasy Heartbeat is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Football League (NFL), any NFL team, the NFL Players Association, ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, or FleaFlicker. NFL team and player names are used for identification purposes only. All trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

← Back to Player Explorer
Brock Bowers headshot

Brock Bowers

TE · #1

LV · TE · Age 23

Redraft rank
TE2
▲TE2 · Elite start
Tier
T1
Overall
#54
ADP
TE2
Consensus
Some split
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
TE2
vs
Market ADP
TE2
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
TE2 · proj. consensus
Major
+
Source agreement
±8 rank σ · 2 sources
Minor
+
Age / role
age 23 TE
Minor
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 tight ends most similar to Brock Bowers, 4 finished TE1, 1 finished TE2, 4 finished TE3, 1 finished TE4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast.

38%38%
  • TE138%(4)
  • TE212%(1)
  • TE338%(4)
  • TE4+11%(1)
Year-two PPG range7.8 median
3.6p25–p75 4.5–11.313.1
10 most similar players
Cole Kmet77%
2023·TE9 · 12.1 PPG
Pat Freiermuth75%
2023·TE27 · 7.5 PPG
Sam LaPorta70%
2024·TE8 · 11.3 PPG
Kyle Pitts69%
2023·TE16 · 8.1 PPG
Michael Mayer65%
2024·TE42 · 3.3 PPG
Tommy Tremble60%
2023·TE34 · 4.7 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Bowers enters his third season fully recovered from the left-knee PCL injury that shadowed his entire 2025 — he says he is 100%, practiced full-speed all spring, and still led the Raiders in catches and receiving touchdowns while hurt. The situation around him improved materially: new coach Klint Kubiak has publicly built the offense around Bowers as his joker tight end, the front office added quarterback Fernando Mendoza with Kirk Cousins as insurance, and no wide receiver on the roster threatens his standing as the clear primary target. His late-2025 usage (23% target share, near-100% snaps, target share trending up) confirms the role never eroded even on a bad knee, and Michael Mayer functions as a complementary in-line Y rather than competition. The residual risks are a knee that already lingered for a full year and the ordinary volatility of a rookie passer in a run-leaning scheme. In dynasty he is an elite, top-tier tight end asset whose price sits below his rookie-year peak — a rare discount window on a 23-year-old positional cornerstone. Recommendation: buy — he costs more than any single rookie pick (think 1.01 plus meaningful additional capital), and that price is still worth paying before a healthy Kubiak season resets it; at minimum a conviction hold, and sell only at a premium reflecting overall-TE1 upside.

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Elite usage productionStrong target shareAge 23 · ascendingTDs due to rebound
Our view vs Market↓ 2 pts below market
Our view
98
Market
100
High draft pedigreeProducing above valueLong career runway

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Youth Upside

    Young TE (23) — still in value appreciation phase

Format Comparison

Brock Bowers — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest7,003—
PPR SF6,752-251