Brian Thomas Jr.

Target share faded across the back half of 2025 — from 19% in Week 17 to 7% in the Wild Card loss — and the season-long trend line is falling, which is the clearest survival-risk signal in his profile.

Travis Hunter, Jakobi Meyers, and Parker Washington all occupy real roles in the JAX passing game, and a 0.45 WOPR is modest for a nominal WR1, capping his target ceiling even while he holds the WR1 depth-chart spot.

A 14.4 aDOT and 42% deep-target rate make Thomas a boom-week vertical weapon but a low-target-volume one, producing a shakier weekly floor than a true high-target WR1.

Thomas played through ankle, shoulder, and wrist issues in 2025 and had an August 2026 practice shoulder scare (called precautionary by the staff); no games have been missed, but the recurring soft-tissue pattern is worth tracking.

A 2024 first-round pick with a rookie-usage profile that drew historical statistical comps to CeeDee Lamb, Tee Higgins, and Justin Jefferson, supporting real breakout precedent even though his own year-two output undershot those comps.

2026 OTA and camp reports described increased chemistry with Trevor Lawrence, including deep touchdown connections in practice, plus a fully healthy offseason after playing hurt for much of 2025.

Thomas has held the WR1 spot on Jacksonville's depth chart continuously since Week 1, removing snap-share or role uncertainty as an entry point into the season.