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Brashard Smith headshot

Brashard Smith

RB · #85

KC · RB · Age 23

◆FLEX

Brashard Smith's recent high snap share in Week 18 signals a potential role shift, but his inconsistent usage over the last four games suggests volatility.

Role & volume
Smith saw a significant increase in snap share to 53% and carry share to 52.2% in Week 18, indicating he could be taking on more responsibilities.
Projected role
Despite the uptick, Smith's trailing average over four games shows a low snap share of 22.5%, suggesting his role remains inconsistent and unpredictable.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Smith's recent performance ranges from a floor of 0.1 PPR points in Week 15 to a ceiling of 7.8 PPR points in Week 18, reflecting his volatile usage and output.
Intel updated: 2 days ago
Current statusKC
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Depth Chart Crowding

    Smith sits as the clear RB3 behind Kenneth Walker III (signed as the lead back) and fifth-round rookie Emmett Johnson, leaving a narrow path to weekly touches.

  • Usage & Volume

    Across his rookie season Smith posted only an 11% carry share, 6% target share, and 18% snap share (WOPR 0.09) — a role well below what typically supports standalone dynasty value.

Opportunity Flags

3
  • Positive TD Regression

    Smith carried a real red-zone role (3.7 expected touchdowns) but scored only once, a notable negative variance that projects favorably if his opportunity holds.

  • Target Volume

    Snap and target shares trended up late in the season, he drew a meaningful target total as a rookie receiver out of the backfield, and he led Chiefs backs in rushing during the August 2026 preseason — signs of a possible passing-down niche.

  • Roster Security

    Added value as Kansas City's kickoff/punt returner strengthens his roster hold even while his offensive touches remain limited.

Format Comparison

Brashard Smith — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest788—
PPR SF622-166