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Brandon Aiyuk headshot

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · #80

SF · WR · Age 28

Redraft rank
WR71
•WR71 · Depth
Tier
T3
Overall
#170
ADP
WR65
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-6 slots (reach)
Our rank
WR71
vs
Market ADP
WR65
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case against
−
Projection rank
WR71 · proj. consensus
Notable
−
ADP value
WR65 ADP · -6 slots
Notable
Neutral: Source agreement, Age / role
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-26 receivers most similar to Brandon Aiyuk's 2024 season, 5 finished WR4+, 5 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%50%
  • WR4+50%(5)
  • Missed season50%(5)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
50%hang on~8.7 PPG·50%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–8.611.0
10 most similar players
Laquon Treadwell99%
2022·Missed the season
Rashard Higgins97%
2022·Missed the season
Michael Gallup96%
2022·WR59 · 7.6 PPG
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine92%
2024·WR56 · 10.4 PPG
Josh Reynolds90%
2022·WR70 · 8.7 PPG
James Washington90%
2022·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Aiyuk's dynasty value is now almost entirely a landing-spot and health bet: San Francisco voided his 2026 guarantees and will trade or (more likely) release him, and he hasn't played meaningful football since a torn ACL/MCL/meniscus in October 2024. The SF depth chart (Pearsall, Evans, Kirk, plus 2026 R2 rookie De'Zhaun Stribling) is irrelevant to his outlook — his future is wherever he signs, with Washington and a Jayden Daniels reunion the most-reported target. The two real concerns are whether the knee allows him to regain pre-injury explosiveness at age 28 and whether his new team hands him true WR1/WR2 volume; community sentiment leans cautious-to-bearish with frequent Michael Thomas comparisons. With value already bottomed near WR85, there's little left to sell, so the asymmetry favors a cheap speculative HOLD/BUY-LOW in deeper leagues — acquire only at dart-throw prices and let the landing spot resolve. Sell only if you can find a manager pricing in a confirmed elite destination before he proves the knee on the field, likely a brief window once he signs.

Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns3

    Aiyuk tore his ACL, MCL and meniscus in Week 7 of 2024 and has played just seven games for the 49ers after signing his four-year, $120 million contract extension in 2024. No clarity on return timeline exists.

  • Imminent Separation

    49ers GM John Lynch confirmed Aiyuk will not return to the organization, stating "he's played his last snap with the Niners." The 49ers voided 2026 guaranteed money, paving the way for separation less than a year and a half after signing a four-year extension.

  • Relationship Breakdown

    Aiyuk failed to attend meetings and declined to participate in other team activities in recent months. Aiyuk stopped showing up altogether and, according to Shanahan, cut off communications with anyone in the building.

  • Team Situation

    49ers GM John Lynch confirmed Aiyuk has played his last snap with the team. Aiyuk stopped communicating with coaches and staff, missed rehab sessions, and had his 2026 guarantees voided for contract violations.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Landing Spot2

    Washington is widely reported as the most likely destination — Aiyuk and Jayden Daniels are close friends and former Arizona State teammates, Daniels has publicly hinted at the reunion, and Commanders GM Adam Peters has prior familiarity with Aiyuk. A WR1 role opposite a rising franchise QB is a significant upgrade from a crowded SF depth chart.

  • Kyle Shanahan Fit

    Aiyuk's skill set (crisp route running, YAC ability) is tailor-made for Shanahan's scheme. Increased involvement in motion/creative plays offers consistent floor with upside.

  • Free Agency Reset

    If released, Aiyuk could sign with a new team post-June 1. However, no trade suitor would take his contract as-is, and Aiyuk would need to renegotiate for a trade to occur. Dynasty value depends entirely on landing spot and health.

  • Fresh Start

    Any elite-QB landing (Bills/Allen, Ravens/Lamar) dramatically raises Aiyuk's dynasty ceiling beyond the Washington scenario. These teams have genuine receiver need and the offensive infrastructure to deploy him as a true WR1 or near-WR1 immediately.

  • Trade Market

    Aiyuk's dynasty value sits below teammate Ricky Pearsall's — a former backup — reflecting peak uncertainty discount. Landing spot clarity is weeks away; dynasty managers who acquire him now at deflated prices absorb maximum uncertainty and maximum upside if the destination is favorable.

Format Comparison

Brandon Aiyuk — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,520—
PPR SF1,302-218