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Bhayshul Tuten headshot

Bhayshul Tuten

RB · #24

JAX · RB · Age 23

Redraft rank
RB26
•RB26 · Flex play
Tier
T3
Overall
#101
ADP
RB25
Consensus
Coin flip
Value vs ADP-1 slots (reach)
Our rank
RB26
vs
Market ADP
RB25
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Age / role
age 23 RB
Minor
Case against
−
Source agreement
±17 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
Neutral: Projection rank, ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-23 backs most similar to Bhayshul Tuten's 2025 season, 8 finished RB4+, 2 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

80%20%
  • RB4+80%(8)
  • Missed season20%(2)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season PPG range4.9 median
0.0p25–p75 0.3–5.78.6
10 most similar players
Sean Tucker93%
2025·RB54 · 5.4 PPG
Jordan Mason92%
2023·RB70 · 5.0 PPG
Zamir White91%
2023·RB57 · 5.7 PPG
Kendre Miller91%
2025·RB78 · 4.8 PPG
Tank Bigsby90%
2024·RB38 · 8.6 PPG
Qadree Ollison89%
2020·Missed the season

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Tuten enters 2026 as the betting favorite to lead a Jacksonville backfield that lost Travis Etienne (1,107 yds, 7 TD) to New Orleans, and the Jaguars reinforced their conviction by drafting zero running backs — only WRs and TEs. The path is real but not clean: Coen calls the room 'wide open,' signed grinder Chris Rodriguez Jr. for early-down/goal-line work, and retains passing-down back LeQuint Allen, so the realistic base case is a committee where Tuten gets the explosive perimeter and receiving looks Etienne vacated. The two swing factors are ball security (his rookie-year weakness and Coen's stated concern) and whether he cedes goal-line TDs to Rodriguez. June OTA reports are encouraging — Tuten was the clear lead back and drew direct praise from Coen — and his 2025 usage was already trending up (snap share to 29%, rising carry share). Recommendation: BUY/HOLD with a 1-year horizon — at Tier 4 he's a cost-effective lead-back lottery ticket on an ascending arrow, and the upside if he wins the job outright meaningfully outpaces the downside. Aggressive managers should buy now before a strong camp prices him up.

Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Target Volume3

    Travis Etienne heads into potential free agency having produced 1,399 scrimmage yards and 13 career-high TDs, drawing significant interest if Jaguars let him walk. Even if Etienne departs, Tuten and Etienne had split backfield reps nearly evenly before Tuten's ankle injury forced him out in Week 11.

  • Etienne Free Agency Uncertainty

    Travis Etienne is set to become an unrestricted free agent in March 2026 after the Jaguars declined his fifth-year option. While Lawrence wants him back, Jacksonville faces cap constraints ($43.7M space) and may prioritize LB Devin Lloyd, creating uncertainty about whether Tuten inherits a featured role or faces a veteran FA addition.

  • Backfield Competition

    The Jaguars signed Chris Rodriguez Jr. (2yr/$10M) as a between-the-tackles complement, confirming a two-back committee rather than a true every-down lead role. Rodriguez's guaranteed money signals real organizational investment, and with LeQuint Allen locked into the third-down/pass-protection role, Tuten's weekly snap ceiling is likely 55-65% rather than a workhorse 70%+.

  • Backfield Committee

    Liam Coen has publicly called the room 'wide open' and signed Chris Rodriguez Jr., a 224-lb early-down/goal-line grinder, plus passing-down back LeQuint Allen — Tuten projects as the perimeter/space back but goal-line TDs and early-down volume could be siphoned off, capping his ceiling.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Draft Capital2

    Jacksonville used zero 2026 draft picks on running backs, taking only WRs and TEs. This is a direct organizational endorsement of Tuten's ceiling — the team is not hedging with early-round RB competition.

  • Etienne Free Agency

    Etienne is set to hit unrestricted free agency and might command a pricey contract; if Jaguars let him walk, Tuten may be in line to take the RB1 role in 2026. If Etienne leaves, Tuten should excel in a featured role under offensive coordinator Liam Coen.

  • Etienne Departure Pathway

    Multiple reports indicate the Jaguars are unlikely to re-sign Etienne due to cap constraints and other priorities, potentially opening up 296 offensive touches for Tuten to absorb. GM James Gladstone has been described as likely to let Etienne walk given early contract extensions for other players.

  • Role Expansion

    Travis Etienne signed a 4-year, $48M deal with the Saints, directly handing Tuten the No. 1 designaton in Jacksonville's backfield. Coach Liam Coen stated publicly he feels 'good about the running backs' with Tuten as the centerpiece, and reports frame Rodriguez firmly as the No. 2.

  • Lead-Back Opening

    Travis Etienne's departure to New Orleans on a 4-year deal removes the only established RB1 on the roster. Tuten is the clear frontrunner entering camp with no comparable-caliber replacement added — Coen has publicly tabbed him as the centerpiece of the 2026 backfield.

Format Comparison

Bhayshul Tuten — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest3,009—
PPR SF2,547-462