Risk Flags
6- Ertz Still Elite
Ertz will be gone, but Sinnott has yet to capitalize on expanded opportunities with him on the field. In his second season, he finished with 11 receptions for 114 yards and 1 TD on 13 targets, catching 7 of 9 targets for 73 yards during the final four games—showing modest improvement late but insufficient overall production.
- Draft Capital
Over two seasons, 19 of 22 first-three-round tight ends drafted in the last four years have gained more receiving yards than Sinnott, with only Cameron Latu and Tip Reiman underperforming him. When drafted 53rd overall in 2024, Sinnott was compared to George Kittle and Kyle Juszczyk by GM Adam Peters—expectations he has dramatically underperformed.
- Minimal Track Record
Over two seasons, Sinnott has just 16 receptions for 142 yards and 1 TD—dramatically underperforming 19 of 22 first-three-round TEs drafted in the last four years. His 26.9% snap share in 2025 and inability to capitalize even when Ertz was sidelined creates legitimate bust concerns for a 2024 second-round pick.
- Target Competition
Washington signed Chig Okonkwo to a 3-year, $27M deal ($16.7M fully guaranteed) as their clear #1 receiving TE, replacing the ACL-torn Ertz and directly blocking Sinnott's path to a featured role. With John Bates retained on an extension as the blocking TE, Sinnott enters 2026 as the third TE on the depth chart.
- Unproven Output
Despite Ertz missing four games with a torn ACL in 2025, Sinnott managed only 11 catches for 114 yards and 1 TD across 16 games — a damning indictment of his inability to capitalize on opportunity. His season-long PPR rank of #59 and 3.2 PPG reflect marginal real-world value even in a starter-adjacent role.
- Contract Risk
Sinnott is an unrestricted free agent after 2026 with no extension reported, and John Bates already has a deal as the blocking specialist. If Blough's role change doesn't stick in camp, Sinnott is a legitimate preseason cut candidate entering his third year.