Risk Flags
1- Age Concerns
Mayfield enters his age-31 season with an uptick in carry share, and while pocket passers age more gracefully than backs, the added rushing exposure is worth monitoring for wear over a multi-year outlook.
Baker Mayfield
QB · #21TB · QB · Age 31
START
Baker Mayfield's consistent rushing volume, averaging a 12.7% carry share over his last four games, sets him apart as a QB with unique fantasy value.
Role & volume
Mayfield has maintained a 100% snap share and an average of 12.7% carry share in the past four games, indicating he is the primary quarterback for Tampa Bay with significant rushing contributions.
Projected role
As the established starter for TB, Mayfield's contract extension signals a commitment to his role as the team's No. 1 quarterback, projecting continued high-volume usage in both passing and rushing roles.
Range (floor–ceiling)
With an average of 15.6 PPR points over the last four games and a floor of 12.7 PPR points, Mayfield offers a reliable weekly START option with upside for higher scoring weeks.
Intel may be outdated · updated 6 days ago
Current statusTB
Our read vs. the market
BetaNo call yetLow confidence
The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)
Opportunity Flags
3- Contract Situation
Reports indicate Mayfield agreed to a contract extension keeping him in Tampa Bay through the 2029 season ahead of this year, which would remove the free-agency uncertainty that shadowed his prior deal.
- Usage & Volume2
A rising carry share on top of a locked-in every-down role adds incremental weekly rushing floor/ceiling on top of his passing production.
Format Comparison
Baker Mayfield — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 3,670 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 2,196 | -1,474 |