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Ashton Jeanty headshot

Ashton Jeanty

RB · #3

LV · RB · Age 22

Redraft rank
RB6
•RB6 · Every-week starter
Tier
T2
Overall
#29
ADP
RB6
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADPat market
Our rank
RB6
vs
Market ADP
RB6
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rank
Case for
+
Projection rank
RB6 · proj. consensus
Major
+
Source agreement
±4 rank σ · 2 sources
Notable
+
Age / role
age 22 RB
Minor
Neutral: ADP value
What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-22 backs most similar to Ashton Jeanty's 2025 season, 4 finished RB1, 4 finished RB2, 1 finished RB3, 1 finished RB4+.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

40%40%
  • RB140%(4)
  • RB240%(4)
  • RB310%(1)
  • RB4+10%(1)
Next-season PPG range14.4 median
11.8p25–p75 13.3–17.321.1
10 most similar players
Najee Harris80%
2022·RB16 · 13.1 PPG
Jonathan Taylor80%
2021·RB1 · 21.9 PPG
Nick Chubb79%
2020·RB9 · 17.2 PPG
Travis Etienne78%
2023·RB5 · 16.6 PPG
Javonte Williams78%
2022·RB83 · 10.5 PPG
Joe Mixon76%
2019·RB15 · 14.1 PPG

+4 more analogs

Analysis

Jeanty enters his age-22 sophomore season as the unquestioned Raiders workhorse: he handled 86.6% of the team's RB carries as a rookie, closed the year at 97% snaps, and finished top-14 in PPR despite a broken offense that fired its coordinator mid-season. The situation around him improved materially this offseason — new coach Klint Kubiak is publicly planning a McCaffrey-level snap share, and the QB room upgraded from chaos to Kirk Cousins plus No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza. The two watch-items are fourth-round rookie Mike Washington Jr., whom Kubiak has framed as a Walker/Charbonnet-style complement rather than a threat, and the timing of the rookie QB handoff, which could temporarily cap scoring efficiency. His late-season ankle injury from Week 12 of 2025 proved minor — he played through it at full snap loads down the stretch. Verdict: buy now, before the Year 2 breakout gets priced in — he's a tier-2 dynasty RB with a realistic path to the position's top tier, and the acquisition window likely closes by midseason. For contenders and rebuilders alike he's a core hold for the next three-plus years.

Intel may be outdated · updated 16 days ago
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

Not enough recent NFL production to trust the fundamentals rank yet — no call.

Our own independent read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (1 flags)

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Youth Upside

    Young RB (22) — peak value years ahead

Format Comparison

Ashton Jeanty — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest8,055—
PPR SF7,149-906