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Ashton Dulin headshot

Ashton Dulin

WR · #171

IND · WR · Age 29

Dynasty value
4
◆Hold Stable
Tier
T13
Pos rank
WR171
Consensus
Strong
What’s driving the valueRange 3–4
Case for
+
Situation
One tailwind
Minor
Case against
−
Age / window
age 29 WR
Major
−
Pedigree / rank
WR171 · Tier 13
Minor
Neutral: Production trend
Analysis

His vertical-usage profile (high aDOT, heavy deep-target rate) gives him boom-week appeal in deeper or best-ball formats, but the early-season target volume (one game, minimal target share) keeps the floor very low. A prior hamstring issue is a modest lingering injury risk but he is currently healthy. Overall this is a low-priority dynasty hold at best — not worth acquiring, and reasonable to sell for anything more than a late-round rookie pick equivalent in startups or deep leagues over the next season.

What similar players becameMedium confidence

Of the 10 age-24 receivers most similar to Ashton Dulin's 2021 season, 5 finished WR4+, 5 missed the season.

Based on just 10 analogs — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.

50%50%
  • WR4+50%(5)
  • Missed season50%(5)

“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.

Next-season outlookcoin-flip
50%hang on~6.0 PPG·50%missed timeplayed <4 games

Split outcome — median falls in the gap between modes; shown as coin-flip, not a single number.

Full next-season range
0.0p25–p75 0.0–6.08.1
10 most similar players
Olamide Zaccheaus94%
2021·WR81 · 6.0 PPG
Chris Conley92%
2018·WR80 · 5.4 PPG
Justin Watson91%
2020·Missed the season
Isaiah McKenzie91%
2018·WR115 · 9.1 PPG
Keith Kirkwood90%
2019·Missed the season
David Moore90%
2020·WR68 · 7.1 PPG

+4 more analogs

Scenarios (3)
Special-teams-first role continueslikely▲ +0%
Hamstring recurrence limits offensive snapsunlikely▼ -20%
Aged out by younger depthpossible▼ -30%
Intel may be outdated · updated 32 days ago
Current statusIND
Also see:
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (3 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Target Volume

    Dulin sits behind Pierce, Downs, and Allen on the depth chart with rookie-round addition Deion Burks also drawing snaps, leaving a thin pathway to meaningful target share even as his offensive role has grown.

  • Injury Concerns

    A prior hamstring issue is on his injury log, and soft-tissue injuries of that type carry recurrence risk that could erode the offensive snaps he has been gaining.

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Offensive Context

    A high average depth of target with a heavy share of deep looks gives Dulin a boom-week ceiling on a per-target basis when he is on the field, even at low overall volume.

Format Comparison

Ashton Dulin — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest4—
PPR 1QB3-1