Risk Flags
6- Injury Concerns
Richardson did not start a single game in 2025 after landing on Injured Reserve following a broken orbital bone, and he experienced pain in his throwing shoulder after an OTA practice, with aggravation in the AC joint he injured during the 2023 season. Pattern of soft-tissue durability issues creates ceiling limitations.
- Backup Role Entrenched
Richardson was the Colts' backup quarterback until a freak accident prior to Week 6 ended his season with a fractured orbital bone and vision limitations. Daniel Jones had a great showing in his first year with the Colts, and Riley Leonard proved to be a capable backup QB, leaving Richardson's path murky.
- Role Path Blocked
The Colts plan to re-sign Daniel Jones to a multi-year deal and have Riley Leonard as a proven backup, leaving Richardson as the likely QB3 with no clear path to starting in Indianapolis. GM Chris Ballard indicated Richardson's future depends on his health and vision recovery.
- Contract Situation
As a 2023 first-round pick, the Colts' deadline to exercise Richardson's 5th-year option is May 2026. Given his QB3 status and trade request, the option is unlikely to be picked up, making him an unrestricted free agent after 2026 and creating usage and roster security uncertainty all season.
- Trade Value Floor
Richardson has formally requested a trade and been given permission to seek one, but the post-draft market has stalled — Colts GM Chris Ballard confirmed calls exist but nothing materialized, and evaluators are pegging his return value at a Day 3 pick. Diminished organizational leverage caps any upside from a move.
- Development Plateau
Through two-plus NFL seasons, Richardson carries a career 50.6% completion rate and has never logged a full season of consistent starting play. His 2025 structured data shows only 2 games played at 1.1 PPG (QB59 rank), and he has not demonstrated the accuracy or decision-making growth needed to command a QB1 job on his own merits.