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QB #166
Anthony Richardson headshot
Anthony Richardson headshot

Anthony Richardson

Tier 8

IND · QB · Age 24

Last synced 1 day ago

Dynasty Value

1,429Declining

Richardson's dynasty stock is at a historic low and the structure of his situation explains why: Daniel Jones re-signed in March 2026 as the clear QB1 after a...

Trajectory data unavailable
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (12 flags)

Risk Flags

6
  • Injury Concerns

    Richardson did not start a single game in 2025 after landing on Injured Reserve following a broken orbital bone, and he experienced pain in his throwing shoulder after an OTA practice, with aggravation in the AC joint he injured during the 2023 season. Pattern of soft-tissue durability issues creates ceiling limitations.

  • Backup Role Entrenched

    Richardson was the Colts' backup quarterback until a freak accident prior to Week 6 ended his season with a fractured orbital bone and vision limitations. Daniel Jones had a great showing in his first year with the Colts, and Riley Leonard proved to be a capable backup QB, leaving Richardson's path murky.

  • Role Path Blocked

    The Colts plan to re-sign Daniel Jones to a multi-year deal and have Riley Leonard as a proven backup, leaving Richardson as the likely QB3 with no clear path to starting in Indianapolis. GM Chris Ballard indicated Richardson's future depends on his health and vision recovery.

  • Contract Situation

    As a 2023 first-round pick, the Colts' deadline to exercise Richardson's 5th-year option is May 2026. Given his QB3 status and trade request, the option is unlikely to be picked up, making him an unrestricted free agent after 2026 and creating usage and roster security uncertainty all season.

  • Trade Value Floor

    Richardson has formally requested a trade and been given permission to seek one, but the post-draft market has stalled — Colts GM Chris Ballard confirmed calls exist but nothing materialized, and evaluators are pegging his return value at a Day 3 pick. Diminished organizational leverage caps any upside from a move.

  • Development Plateau

    Through two-plus NFL seasons, Richardson carries a career 50.6% completion rate and has never logged a full season of consistent starting play. His 2025 structured data shows only 2 games played at 1.1 PPG (QB59 rank), and he has not demonstrated the accuracy or decision-making growth needed to command a QB1 job on his own merits.

Opportunity Flags

6
  • Trade Destination Potential

    The New York Jets list Richardson as one of three quarterbacks they should target for the 2026 season. The Colts quarterback simply needs a change of scenery, as too many bad-luck things have happened to him with Indianapolis, and sometimes moving teams is all a player needs to restart their career.

  • Trade Destination

    Richardson, given permission to seek a trade, represents a high-ceiling reclamation project for a QB-needy team. Landing in a supportive offense with a patient coaching staff could rapidly restore his dynasty value — the arm talent and mobility that made him a top-5 pick have not disappeared.

  • New Team Upside

    Multiple QB-needy franchises have been linked with mutual interest — Vikings (formally reported mutual interest), Broncos (Day 3 acquisition cost), Packers, and Rams are among named fits. A landing spot with a strong OL, offensive weapons, and a QB-development staff could meaningfully reset his dynasty value from its current depressed floor.

  • Age & Upside

    At just 23 years old, Richardson is younger than most backup QBs in the NFL. Even in a worst-case 2026 as a clipboard holder, he hits unrestricted free agency at 24 — still firmly within the prime development window for QBs and retaining significant long-term dynasty optionality.

  • Free Agency Reset

    If the 5th-year option is not exercised, Richardson becomes a UFA after 2026 and can sign with a QB-needy team that fits his skillset on his own terms. A new coaching environment and scheme fit is his most realistic value-recovery path, and several teams will have needs at the position.

  • Youth Upside

    At 23 years old with elite size-speed athleticism as a former top-4 overall pick, Richardson remains a legitimate reclamation project. His current dynasty price (2572, day-3-pick territory) is historically cheap for a player this age with his physical profile — the market is pricing in failure, not ceiling.

Scenarios (4)
  • Stays as Colts backup, exits as UFAlikely-10%

    No suitor meets Indy's asking price; Jones healthy and entrenched as QB1 for 2026

  • Traded for late pick, loses starting competitionpossible-5%

    A QB-needy team acquires him cheaply but he fails to win the job

  • Trade to QB-needy team, wins starting jobpossible+35%

    Offseason or in-season trade gives him a real runway and he seizes it

  • Jones setback opens Colts QB1 doorunlikely+40%

    Jones's Achilles recovery stalls and Richardson is still rostered when the season opens

Format Comparison

Anthony Richardson — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest1,429—
PPR 1QB1,026-403