Andy Dalton
QB · #72PHI · QB · Age 38
Redraft rank
QB68
QB68 · Depth
Tier
T4
Overall
#547
ADP
QB64
Consensus
Tight
Value vs ADP-4 slots (reach)
Our rank
QB68
Market ADP
QB64
Priced right where they project.
What’s driving the season rankNotableNotableNotable
Case against
Projection rank
QB68 · proj. consensus
ADP value
QB64 ADP · -4 slots
Age / role
age 38 QB
Neutral: Source agreement
What similar players becameLow confidence
Of the 6 age-34 quarterbacks most similar to Andy Dalton's 2021 season, 2 finished QB1, 1 finished QB3, 2 finished QB4+, 1 missed the season.
Based on just 6 analogs — outcomes span Missed season → QB1 — directional, not a forecast · veteran comps draw on 2017-onward history.
31%18%37%14%
- QB131%(2)
- QB318%(1)
- QB4+37%(2)
- Missed season14%(1)
“Missed season” = a comp played fewer than 4 games the next year (injury, benching, or out of the league) — an availability rate, not a dynasty-value call.
Next-season PPG range8.0 median
0.0p25–p75 0.4–17.820.7
6 most similar players
Colt McCoy96%
2021QB45 · 5.9 PPG
Joe Flacco95%
2019QB33 · 10.6 PPG
Chad Henne93%
2021QB56 · 0.8 PPG
Philip Rivers87%
2018QB10 · 17.8 PPG
Josh Johnson73%
2019Missed the season
Aaron Rodgers70%
2018QB12 · 19.5 PPG
Format Comparison
Andy Dalton — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR SFBest | 37 | — |
| PPR 1QB | 20 | -17 |