Risk Flags
1- Injury Concerns
A Grade 2 MCL sprain suffered in preseason practice in August 2026 adds to a pattern of knee and ankle issues that cost him time in 2025, clouding his availability entering the season.
Alvin Kamara
RB · #62NO · RB · Age 31
FLEX
Alvin Kamara's recent injury status and declining transaction trends signal a FLEX role for the upcoming season.
Role & volume
Kamara averaged just 46.8% snap share over his last four games, indicating limited usage even before his injury.
Projected role
Our value ranks Kamara as RB48, suggesting a FLEX role due to inconsistent volume and recent team changes impacting his role.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Kamara's floor is low with only 0.7 PPR points in one of the last four games, while his ceiling remains modest given his RB48 ranking.
Intel may be outdated · updated 6 days ago
Current statusNO
Our read vs. the market
BetaFairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionSolid carry shareAge 30 · window closingTDs due to regress
Our view vs Market↑ 24 pts above market
Our view
54
Market
30
TD regression riskAge-curve riskProducing above value
Our own read · beta — not a trade price.
Risk & Opportunity Analysis (2 flags)
Opportunity Flags
1- TD Regression
Kamara's red-zone role produced roughly 4.2 expected touchdowns late in 2025 but only 1 actual score, a gap that points to positive scoring regression once he's back on the field even within a reduced role.
Format Comparison
Alvin Kamara — Format Comparison
| Format | Value | vs Best |
|---|---|---|
| PPR 1QBBest | 1,262 | — |
| PPR SF | 1,050 | -212 |