Risk Flags
3- Catch Reliability
Mitchell carries a career drop rate near 15% and has converted only about a third of contested targets, a real leak between target share and box-score production.
- Target Competition
Omar Cooper Jr. has settled in as a rotating WR3 who depth-chart coverage describes sharing WR2/3 snaps with Mitchell on a given week, capping target certainty despite the nominal starting role.
- Scheme Volume Cap
The Jets' run-leaning tendencies (negative team PROE) shrink the overall passing-target pie, so a stable target-share percentage still yields modest raw volume.