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Adonai Mitchell headshot

Adonai Mitchell

WR · #70

NYJ · WR · Age 23

◆FLEX

Adonai Mitchell's recent 22% target share over his last four games signals a growing role in the Jets' offense, but his WR67 value rank suggests he remains a speculative play.

Role & volume
Over his last four games, Mitchell has seen a significant uptick in target share, averaging 21.9%, indicating an increased role within the offense.
Projected role
Despite this recent increase, Mitchell's WR67 value rank suggests he is not yet considered a top-tier receiver and his usage remains inconsistent, with snap shares ranging from 52% to 86% in recent weeks.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Mitchell's performance has shown a wide range, scoring as low as 0.0 PPR points and as high as 17.4 PPR points over his last four games, reflecting the volatility in his role.
Intel may be outdated · updated 49 days ago
Current statusNYJ
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Buy-low — we value him above the market
Why
Average usage productionAverage target shareAge 23 · ascending
  • ▲Dynasty age curve
  • ▲Expected fantasy points
  • ▲Draft-capital pedigree
Our view vs Market↑ 26 pts above market
Our view
65
Market
39
Long career runway

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (5 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Catch Reliability

    Mitchell carries a career drop rate near 15% and has converted only about a third of contested targets, a real leak between target share and box-score production.

  • Target Competition

    Omar Cooper Jr. has settled in as a rotating WR3 who depth-chart coverage describes sharing WR2/3 snaps with Mitchell on a given week, capping target certainty despite the nominal starting role.

  • Scheme Volume Cap

    The Jets' run-leaning tendencies (negative team PROE) shrink the overall passing-target pie, so a stable target-share percentage still yields modest raw volume.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Depth Chart

    Training-camp and beat coverage frame him as a locked-in full-time WR2 and 2026 X-factor for the first time in his career, a material role upgrade from his injury-shortened 2025 debut in the offense.

  • QB Fit

    Geno Smith's track record as an efficient downfield passer fits Mitchell's vertical route tree, and camp reporting has highlighted their developing chemistry.

Format Comparison

Adonai Mitchell — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,535—
PPR SF1,327-208