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Aaron Rodgers headshot

Aaron Rodgers

QB · #38

PIT · QB · Age 42

◆FLEX

Aaron Rodgers's retirement announcement signals a significant downgrade in his projected fantasy football value, despite his recent rushing volume.

Role & volume
In the last four games before Week 19, Aaron Rodgers averaged a 4.2% carry share and rushed for as many as 7.4%, indicating he contributes with occasional rushing attempts.
Projected role
Rodgers is now ranked QB29 on our value board, reflecting his diminished fantasy football relevance due to the retirement announcement and a four-quarterback competition in Pittsburgh.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Given Rodgers's recent performance and new team context, his weekly range softens to a low floor of 7.3 PPR points and a ceiling around 17.8 PPR points, making him a speculative FLEX option.
Intel may be outdated · updated 3 days ago
Current statusPIT
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
No call yetLow confidence

The QB position isn't modeled yet — no call.

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

3
  • Contract Situation

    The 2026 deal is a one-year pact, and Rodgers has publicly left retirement on the table once it expires, meaning the role could disappear entirely with no succession value retained.

  • Injury Concerns

    Rodgers played through a fractured wrist late in the 2025 season without missing a start; he's currently listed healthy, but the incident underscores elevated durability risk at his age.

  • Draft Capital

    Pittsburgh used a 2026 third-round pick on Drew Allar, signaling the front office is already planning the post-Rodgers succession even though Allar isn't a near-term role threat.

Opportunity Flags

1
  • Usage & Volume

    Rodgers holds a fully locked-in, every-down role (95% snap share) with no realistic in-season competition from Allar, Howard, or Rudolph.

Format Comparison

Aaron Rodgers — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR SFBest1,206—
PPR 1QB751-455