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Aaron Jones headshot

Aaron Jones

RB · #54

MIN · RB · Age 31

◆FLEX

Aaron Jones's recent injury status drops him to a RB36 on our value board, signaling his role as a high-floor FLEX option.

Role & volume
Jones has maintained a consistent rushing volume with an average carry share of 42.9% over the last four games, indicating he remains a key part of the offense.
Projected role
Despite his injury status, Jones is expected to retain his established role as Minnesota's primary running back, though recent injuries may impact his weekly availability and performance.
Range (floor–ceiling)
Jones offers a high-floor FLEX option with a PPR average of 10.9 points over the last four games, but his RB36 value rank suggests limited ceiling potential for top-24 weekly finishes.
Intel may be outdated · updated 43 days ago
Current statusMIN
Also see:

Our read vs. the market

Beta
Fairly priced — we're in line with the marketIn line
Why
Strong usage productionSolid carry shareAge 31 · window closing
Our view vs Market↑ 18 pts above market
Our view
52
Market
34
Age-curve riskProducing above value

Our own read · beta — not a trade price.

Risk & Opportunity Analysis (4 flags)

Risk Flags

2
  • Backfield Competition

    Camp reporting had Jordan Mason emerging as the lead back in a timeshare before an injury sidelined him; when Mason is healthy again, Jones' current elevated touch share is likely to compress back toward a committee split.

  • Contract Situation

    The revised 2026 deal was a pay-cut, prove-it arrangement with no guaranteed path beyond this season, leaving retention for 2027 uncertain.

Opportunity Flags

2
  • Usage & Volume

    With Jordan Mason out, Jones opened the season as the stable RB1, and his snap share has climbed toward the mid-60s percent with target share trending up game over game.

  • Target Volume

    Jones' receiving usage (WOPR near 0.14 in 2025, rising target-share trend) gives him a PPR floor beyond straight carries as long as he holds passing-down snaps.

Format Comparison

Aaron Jones — Format Comparison

FormatValuevs Best
PPR 1QBBest1,523—
PPR SF1,317-206